Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.054885 0.062456 0.070251 0.078844 0.088021 0.097500 0.108002
2025-06-29 0.044596 0.056099 0.068589 0.083009 0.099058 0.116246 0.135919
2025-07-06 0.035898 0.049421 0.064798 0.083230 0.104406 0.127691 0.154960
2025-07-13 0.033256 0.048939 0.067370 0.090034 0.116618 0.146340 0.181640
2025-07-20 0.026654 0.042754 0.062477 0.087483 0.117524 0.151749 0.193025
2025-07-27 0.024214 0.041424 0.063150 0.091287 0.125638 0.165255 0.213510
2025-08-03 0.020943 0.038574 0.061592 0.092091 0.129957 0.174182 0.228588
2025-08-10 0.018052 0.035881 0.059952 0.092556 0.133677 0.182263 0.242574
2025-08-17 0.015088 0.032705 0.057388 0.091607 0.135472 0.187908 0.253583
2025-08-24 0.011632 0.028294 0.052772 0.087684 0.133302 0.188574 0.258512
2025-08-31 0.009123 0.024984 0.049396 0.085146 0.132677 0.190957 0.265360
2025-09-07 0.007889 0.023651 0.048752 0.086201 0.136584 0.198856 0.278825
2025-09-14 0.006438 0.021830 0.047461 0.086599 0.140023 0.206694 0.292914
2025-09-21 0.005975 0.021876 0.049074 0.091167 0.149096 0.221782 0.316145
2025-09-28 0.004761 0.020134 0.047722 0.091425 0.152409 0.229620 0.330505
2025-10-05 0.004883 0.021325 0.051144 0.098609 0.165037 0.249293 0.359529
2025-10-12 0.003453 0.018598 0.047897 0.095919 0.164265 0.251888 0.367396
2025-10-19 0.003158 0.018582 0.049196 0.099931 0.172592 0.266113 0.389734
2025-10-26 0.002514 0.017434 0.048427 0.100778 0.176550 0.274715 0.405066
2025-11-02 0.001936 0.016246 0.047473 0.101268 0.179965 0.282593 0.419485
2025-11-09 0.001336 0.014657 0.045625 0.100268 0.181234 0.287635 0.430310
2025-11-16 0.000685 0.012242 0.041911 0.096130 0.177929 0.286585 0.433342
2025-11-23 0.000323 0.010477 0.039224 0.093452 0.176565 0.287988 0.439410